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Meridian

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All My subscriptions Commodity Strategies Northstar Macro US Strategies Asia Strategies mzx 跨市场资产策略笔记 mzx - Sandbox Vega Trading

Vega Trading · Assets · Meridian

Overview Trades Portfolios Assets

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Current view

Commodities

Silver / U.S. Dollar

OTC · Commodities · Spot

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 5, 2026, 11:51 AM

XAUUSD XAGUSD Rule number 1: Never bet against me. Rule number 2: Refer to rule number 1. Rule number 3: Refer to rule number 2. https://meridian-classic-git-codex-owner-preview-meridian-research.vercel.app/highlights/share/0fab5217-3935-4cec-a9c9-9c424409c570?v=20261007-reference-excerpts&tz=America%2FNew_YorkReading note

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Gold / U.S. Dollar

OTC · Commodities · Spot

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 5, 2026, 11:51 AM

XAUUSD XAGUSD Rule number 1: Never bet against me. Rule number 2: Refer to rule number 1. Rule number 3: Refer to rule number 2. https://meridian-classic-git-codex-owner-preview-meridian-research.vercel.app/highlights/share/0fab5217-3935-4cec-a9c9-9c424409c570?v=20261007-reference-excerpts&tz=America%2FNew_YorkReading note

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Gold Dec 26

COMEX · Commodities · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Nov 3, 2026, 04:06 PM

Latest research · Jun 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade performance

+330.5 USD/troy oz

Closed trades

Copper Futures

COMEX · Commodities · Futures

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:13 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

RB1!

NYMEX · Commodities · Futures

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:11 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

NY Harbor ULSD Futures

NYMEX · Commodities · Futures

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:00 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

US Dollar Index Futures

ICEUS · Commodities · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Oct 13, 2026, 03:38 PM

Latest research · Sep 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade performance

Closed trades

BZ1!

NYMEX · Commodities · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Oct 13, 2026, 01:50 PM

Latest research · Nov 2, 2026, 06:59 PM

BZ1! CL1! is getting hit hard on another Trump TACO (another hyped-up headline about progress toward a peace deal), right ahead of the midterms. Months ago, I laid out a broad trading framework for oil: https://www.meridianresearch.app/highlights/share/50553f69-4599-40be-8e56-2f7c0239e566?v=20261007-reference-excerpts&tz=America%2FNew_YorkReading note

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade performance

Closed trades

WTI Crude Oil Futures

NYMEX · Commodities · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Oct 13, 2026, 01:50 PM

Latest research · Nov 2, 2026, 06:59 PM

BZ1! CL1! is getting hit hard on another Trump TACO (another hyped-up headline about progress toward a peace deal), right ahead of the midterms. Months ago, I laid out a broad trading framework for oil: https://www.meridianresearch.app/highlights/share/50553f69-4599-40be-8e56-2f7c0239e566?v=20261007-reference-excerpts&tz=America%2FNew_YorkReading note

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade performance

Closed trades

PALLADIUM (US$/OZ)

TVC · Commodities · Spot

No directional view

Latest research · Aug 15, 2026, 03:00 PM

Technical PALLADIUM was rejected at 1.4K. A sustained move above it puts the broken ascending trendline back in play, while continued rejection reopens the downside for a retest of the previous low.

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

PLATINUM (US$/OZ)

TVC · Commodities · Spot

No directional view

Latest research · Aug 15, 2026, 03:00 PM

Technical PLATINUM has stalled below 1.8K. A sustained move above it puts the broken ascending trendline back in play, while another rejection puts 1.6K back in play.

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Silver Futures

COMEX · Commodities · Futures

No directional view

Latest research · Jan 30, 2026, 05:58 PM

GC1! =4850, SI1! =85

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Gold TRY per gram Futures

BIST · Commodities · Futures

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 29, 2025, 08:12 PM

Figure 2— XAUTRY1! in TRY: Gold priced in lira has stair-stepped to successive all-time highs since 2022, illustrating the cleanest hedge against currency debasement when domestic deposits earn deeply negative real retur

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Crypto

Bitcoin Futures

CME · Crypto · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Oct 22, 2026, 08:22 AM

Latest research · Sep 19, 2026, 05:06 PM

BTC1! The CLARITY Act failed to advance in the September 15 Senate procedural vote, but the bill remains alive. BTC has since moved above the descending trendline that capped earlier rebounds. The legislative setback has

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade performance

+19,000 USD/BTC

Closed trades

Ethereum

Spot · Crypto · Spot

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 19, 2026, 05:06 PM

ETH E** has delivered a clean break above 2.52K. US spot E** ETFs also returned to inflows on Friday, attracting roughly US$144mn, although the week still ended with approximately US$141mn of net outflows.

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Equities

Apple

NASDAQ · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 2, 2026, 01:29 PM

ES1! rebounded overnight to retest key resistance at 7,660 from below and has stalled precisely at the level I gave the other day. NQ1! is testing a similar resistance line around 28850. The market has bounced a little f

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

GDX.US

US · Equities · ETFs

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 1, 2026, 05:22 PM

GDX has now filled all the gaps it left in August, just as I expected. https://www.meridianresearch.app/highlights/share/3bb7d803-0883-40dd-be41-9f20e86998a7?v=20261007-reference-excerpts&tz=America%2FNew_YorkReading note

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Global X Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETF

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 1, 2026, 01:03 PM

The data center trade is also sitting right at key support. DTCR

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

INTC.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 30, 2026, 09:31 AM

INTC fell as much as 26.5% after hours before bouncing off the 67 support I gave yesterday. If 67 breaks, the next support is 52. AMZN is hanging on for dear life around the 225 support I gave yesterday. https://www.meridianresearch.app/notes/d9995506-affe-4eb3-aae1-505d7224aeb9?ref=90ff716b-670c-4181-b674-1c1497a30507Note

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

SNDK.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 29, 2026, 01:29 PM

Yesterday's FOMC proved to be a non-event, as we expected, especially compared with the previous two meetings. NDX 's intraday range was just 0.78%, versus 2.81% on July 29 and 1.67% on September 16. AMZN, INTC and SNDK

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

POP MART

HKEX · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:38 PM

09992.HK The recent weakness was not confined to September's online channels. A mainland offline tracker puts Pop Mart's Q3 same-store sales growth at only 0.4%, against more than 8% at Miniso and TOPTOY. October checks

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

01810.HK

HKEX · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:37 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Alibaba

NYSE · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:37 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

XLF.US

US · Equities · ETFs

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:35 PM

XLF The regional-bank results released this week have not caught up with the deterioration in traded credit. KeyCorp's Q3 net charge-off ratio fell to 0.32%, down 10bp both sequentially and year on year. Western Alliance

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:35 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

iShares MSCI South Korea ETF

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:22 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Invesco DB Agriculture Fund

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:12 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

View updated · Oct 21, 2026, 01:14 PM

Latest research · Oct 30, 2026, 03:51 PM

NVDA Significant break. Turbulence ahead! Brace! Brace! Brace!

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

Closed trades

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

NYSE · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 10, 2026, 05:24 PM

JPM 's earnings, scheduled for October 13, provide the next check on earnings and credit quality. XLF

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

iShares Semiconductor ETF

NASDAQ · Equities · ETFs

No directional view

View updated · Oct 9, 2026, 08:51 AM

Latest research · Nov 4, 2026, 05:11 PM

SOXX shed 4% at one point after my post, as I expected. I think there'll be good short opportunities in ES1! and NQ1! over the coming sessions.

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

Closed trades

CAT.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 3, 2026, 04:21 PM

Michael Burry added to his AI shorts on September 22, I said these names had further to run—and that he would need another post explaining why he remained short. I posted this on the same day. On September 28, he doubled

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

MU.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 3, 2026, 04:21 PM

Michael Burry added to his AI shorts on September 22, I said these names had further to run—and that he would need another post explaining why he remained short. I posted this on the same day. On September 28, he doubled

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

NBIS.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 3, 2026, 04:21 PM

Michael Burry added to his AI shorts on September 22, I said these names had further to run—and that he would need another post explaining why he remained short. I posted this on the same day. On September 28, he doubled

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Amazon.Com, Inc.

NASDAQ · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

View updated · Sep 29, 2026, 12:20 PM

Latest research · Oct 30, 2026, 09:31 AM

INTC fell as much as 26.5% after hours before bouncing off the 67 support I gave yesterday. If 67 breaks, the next support is 52. AMZN is hanging on for dear life around the 225 support I gave yesterday. https://www.meridianresearch.app/notes/d9995506-affe-4eb3-aae1-505d7224aeb9?ref=90ff716b-670c-4181-b674-1c1497a30507Note

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

Closed trades

Meta Platforms

NASDAQ · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

View updated · Sep 29, 2026, 12:20 PM

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:32 PM

META Wednesday's Meta results were not a demand collapse. Revenue grew 26%, and operating profit increased year on year after excluding the $9.89B legal charge. But $34.91B of capital spending, including finance-lease pr

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

Closed trades

Alphabet Class A

NASDAQ · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

View updated · Sep 29, 2026, 12:20 PM

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:31 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

Closed trades

00700.HK

HKEX · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

View updated · Sep 28, 2026, 12:28 PM

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:37 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

Closed trades

Tesla

NASDAQ · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

View updated · Sep 28, 2026, 11:37 AM

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:33 PM

TSLA 's Wednesday results showed a different cash-flow sequence: Q2's $1.09B outflow became a $1.53B inflow in Q3, helped by both stronger operating cash flow and lower capex. Operating profit also improved from Q2, alth

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

Closed trades

PLTR.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

View updated · Sep 28, 2026, 10:36 AM

Latest research · Nov 2, 2026, 01:29 PM

ES1! rebounded overnight to retest key resistance at 7,660 from below and has stalled precisely at the level I gave the other day. NQ1! is testing a similar resistance line around 28850. The market has bounced a little f

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

Closed trades

MAGS.US

US · Equities · ETFs

No directional view

View updated · Sep 28, 2026, 10:36 AM

Latest research · Nov 1, 2026, 01:24 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

Closed trades

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

NASDAQ · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

View updated · Sep 28, 2026, 10:36 AM

Latest research · Apr 25, 2026, 12:29 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

Closed trades

Microsoft

NASDAQ · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

View updated · Sep 25, 2026, 08:34 AM

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:31 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

Closed trades

Zijin Mining

SSE · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

View updated · Sep 18, 2026, 04:36 PM

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:36 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

Closed trades

Bloks Group

HKEX · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

00700.HK BABA 01810.HK 09992.HK 01364.HK 02097.HK 00325.HK CN consumer demand has deteriorated across the board. This is no longer just a property problem or weakness confined to a few discretionary categories. Proxies a

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Guming Holdings

HKEX · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

00700.HK BABA 01810.HK 09992.HK 01364.HK 02097.HK 00325.HK CN consumer demand has deteriorated across the board. This is no longer just a property problem or weakness confined to a few discretionary categories. Proxies a

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

MIXUE Group

HKEX · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

00700.HK BABA 01810.HK 09992.HK 01364.HK 02097.HK 00325.HK CN consumer demand has deteriorated across the board. This is no longer just a property problem or weakness confined to a few discretionary categories. Proxies a

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Laopu Gold

HKEX · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Aug 22, 2026, 03:00 PM

06181.HK Technical:As long as price remains above the descending trendline, the path of least resistance remains higher. A sustained break back below it opens more downside.

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

STRC

NASDAQ · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Jul 17, 2026, 11:48 AM

Classic Ponzi behavior: raise the promised payout, squeeze every last penny out of investors, and keep the machine alive. This chart shows STRC 's yield since launch. It now stands at 14%. https://www.meridianresearch.app/classic/notes/1a5fb659-4ae2-4136-8ab3-9d8e5e00449eNote

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

MSTR

NASDAQ · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Jul 16, 2026, 11:36 AM

BTC1! MSTR Ponzi scammers always cherry-pick the window that flatters them, then call it proof. If you want to compare BTC with QQQ or SPY, include the growth those companies delivered before they went public. Their tota

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Futu Holdings

NASDAQ · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Jun 27, 2026, 02:36 PM

FUTU lost 131 and remains below it. The bounce from the long-term trendline does not repair the structure yet. Bulls need to reclaim 131 before this becomes anything more than a damaged rebound. Failure to reclaim keeps

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

STRD.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Jun 24, 2026, 04:32 PM

These are MSTR preferreds. STRC is variable-rate monthly payer. STRF is the fixed 10% cumulative cash preferred. STRD is the fixed 10% non-cumulative preferred, meaning skipped dividends do not accrue. STRK is the fixed

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

STRF.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Jun 24, 2026, 04:32 PM

These are MSTR preferreds. STRC is variable-rate monthly payer. STRF is the fixed 10% cumulative cash preferred. STRD is the fixed 10% non-cumulative preferred, meaning skipped dividends do not accrue. STRK is the fixed

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

STRK.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Jun 24, 2026, 04:32 PM

These are MSTR preferreds. STRC is variable-rate monthly payer. STRF is the fixed 10% cumulative cash preferred. STRD is the fixed 10% non-cumulative preferred, meaning skipped dividends do not accrue. STRK is the fixed

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

ORCL.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Dec 19, 2025, 01:53 PM

TikTok's separation is finally moving, with binding agreements to form a US joint venture controlled by US investors led by Oracle, and ORCL is bid pre market. OpenAI is also reportedly seeking up to $100bn in fresh capi

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

AVGO.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Dec 12, 2025, 01:08 PM

Futures are mixed overnight, with NQ1! lagging. Pre-market, Mag 7 are mostly lower. AVGO dropped 6% post-earnings, despite beating expectations across the board. It wasn't surprising to see a call that started with such

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

FDX.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Dec 12, 2025, 01:08 PM

Futures are mixed overnight, with NQ1! lagging. Pre-market, Mag 7 are mostly lower. AVGO dropped 6% post-earnings, despite beating expectations across the board. It wasn't surprising to see a call that started with such

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

NKE.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Dec 12, 2025, 01:08 PM

Futures are mixed overnight, with NQ1! lagging. Pre-market, Mag 7 are mostly lower. AVGO dropped 6% post-earnings, despite beating expectations across the board. It wasn't surprising to see a call that started with such

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

RSP.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Dec 11, 2025, 01:14 PM

CN put rate cuts back in play after pledging to adopt more supportive monetary and fiscal policy to bolster the economy. Officials said they will use interest rate and RRR cuts, and also plan to step up efforts to stabil

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Chipotle Mexican Grill

NYSE · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 26, 2025, 12:31 PM

ES1! reversed sharply from our 6730 resistance yesterday but managed to stage a strong rebound shortly after. Market breadth has been very solid over the past two days, with noticeable laggards such as META, LULU and CMG

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

LULU.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 26, 2025, 12:31 PM

ES1! reversed sharply from our 6730 resistance yesterday but managed to stage a strong rebound shortly after. Market breadth has been very solid over the past two days, with noticeable laggards such as META, LULU and CMG

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

RTH.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 19, 2025, 02:38 PM

We should remain in the 6600–6690 range in RTH today ahead of NVDA earnings. ES1! has solid support around 6600, but NVDA earnings after the close have the power to break below it. Currently SPX/ES have formed an imperfe

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

ARKK.US

US · Equities · ETFs

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 14, 2025, 12:15 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 14, 2025, 12:15 PM

Stocks with little or no revenue that rose multiple fold on quantum or AI speculation since the April low look similar to SPACS or ARKK in 2021. Many of those busted in the first half of 2025 while SPX and NDX kept climb

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

RGTI

NASDAQ · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 14, 2025, 12:15 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

IBM

NYSE · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · Jul 24, 2025, 01:33 PM

Futures surged into the close yesterday, and NQ1! tested its recent high after AI was mentioned repeatedly on GOOGL 's conference call. Initially, all major tech earnings, including IBM, TSLA, and GOOGL, were met with se

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

GME.US

US · Equities · Stocks

No directional view

Latest research · May 18, 2024, 02:25 PM

GME Down 70% from the high

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

FX

U.S. Dollar Index

ICE · FX · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:13 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

U.S. DOLLAR / JAPANESE YEN

FX_IDC · FX · Spot

No directional view

View updated · Oct 15, 2026, 10:09 AM

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:14 PM

USDJPY has pulled back but is holding above 155.56. With core inflation at 2.1% y/y, attention turns to the BOJ's October 30 decision. The BOJ is expected to follow the Fed's lead and hold, with the FOMC very likely to l

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade performance

Closed trades

U.S. DOLLAR / CHINESE YUAN

FX_IDC · FX · Spot

No directional view

Latest research · Mar 7, 2024, 01:54 AM

Invisible price floor at 7.2 USDCNY

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

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No closed trades

Global Indices

ES1!

CME · Global Indices · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Nov 7, 2026, 12:25 PM

Latest research · Nov 4, 2026, 05:11 PM

SOXX shed 4% at one point after my post, as I expected. I think there'll be good short opportunities in ES1! and NQ1! over the coming sessions.

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade performance

Closed trades

KOSPI Index

Korea Stock Exchange · Global Indices · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 1, 2026, 01:34 PM

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index

Philadelphia Stock Exchange · Global Indices · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 1, 2026, 01:19 PM

SOX price action during the dot-com era has predicted almost every swing low and swing high for us since SOX topped in June. And SOXX generational resistance line since the GFC has also marked multiple swing highs and lo

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

—

No closed trades

Nasdaq 100 Index

INDEX · Global Indices · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 1, 2026, 01:01 PM

Meanwhile, SPX is hanging on for dear life at key support. NDX, the most AI-heavy index, has already broken cleanly below key support.

Research & view history ↗Trade history ↗

Cumulative trade return

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No closed trades

S&P 500 Index

INDEX · Global Indices · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 1, 2026, 01:01 PM

Meanwhile, SPX is hanging on for dear life at key support. NDX, the most AI-heavy index, has already broken cleanly below key support.

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Russell 3000 Index

TVC · Global Indices · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 1, 2026, 12:55 PM

As I mentioned the other day, broad market breadth has remained fine in the past few weeks despite tech weakness, as the RUA Russell 3000 has shown. Yesterday, however, it slid and tested its horizontal support again. Th

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Shenzhen Component Index

SZSE · Global Indices · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:28 PM

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SSE Composite Index

SSE · Global Indices · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:28 PM

000001 Monday's China data showed Q3 GDP growth improving to 4.5% from 4.3% in Q2, but September retail sales rose only 1.1% year on year and investment fell 7.2% over the first nine months. Tuesday then brought unchange

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Hang Seng Index

HKEX · Global Indices · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:27 PM

HSI The recent AI spending story is now working through Chinese internet earnings forecasts. Revenue expectations have held up better than profits as analysts raise investment assumptions and cut earnings estimates. This

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NIFTY 50

National Stock Exchange of India · Global Indices · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:24 PM

NIFTY 's recent rebound has faded. Wednesday's RBI minutes, covering the October 5-7 meeting, gave investors no near-term rate-cut relief: policy remained in calibrated tightening, although two members preferred neutral.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average

Dow Jones · Global Indices · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:21 PM

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Russell 2000 Index

Russell · Global Indices · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:21 PM

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GIFT Nifty 50 Futures (SGX Connect)

NSEIX · Global Indices · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Oct 12, 2026, 10:04 AM

Latest research · Jul 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

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Hang Seng TECH Index Futures

HKEX · Global Indices · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Oct 5, 2026, 12:11 PM

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:27 PM

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Hang Seng Index Futures

HKEX · Global Indices · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Oct 5, 2026, 12:11 PM

Latest research · Aug 12, 2026, 12:00 AM

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Nikkei 225 Index

Nihon Keizai Shinbun · Global Indices · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 3, 2026, 04:21 PM

NIKKEI resolved higher as the wedge compressed. The latest prime-broker flows show renewed buying in Japanese semiconductors and AI infrastructure, even as overall risk appetite remains restrained, in line with the U.S.

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NKD1!

CME · Global Indices · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Oct 2, 2026, 04:04 PM

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:25 PM

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NQ1!

CME · Global Indices · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Sep 30, 2026, 04:08 PM

Latest research · Nov 4, 2026, 05:11 PM

SOXX shed 4% at one point after my post, as I expected. I think there'll be good short opportunities in ES1! and NQ1! over the coming sessions.

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RTY1!

CME · Global Indices · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Sep 25, 2026, 10:35 AM

Latest research · Dec 8, 2025, 02:01 PM

Markets appear to be in wait and see mode ahead of FOMC, with subdued volumes in Asia. The US equity market has meaningfully healed after a period that was dominated by technical rather than fundamental dynamics. The sup

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E-mini Dow Futures

CBOT_MINI · Global Indices · Futures

No directional view

Latest research · Dec 12, 2025, 03:17 PM

Q：Hey Sean, I've noticed recently that the Dow and the Russell 2000 have been outperforming the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq. What's your take on this shift? A：This type of behavior is commonly observed at the end of bull mark

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BIST 100 Index

BIST · Global Indices · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 29, 2025, 08:12 PM

Figure 4— BIST with Türkiye CPI overlay (pink, right axis): The equity index shows a parabolic nominal advance from 2022, while CPI accelerates alongside it. This pairing illustrates the high-inflation playbook: deeply n

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Other

Samsung KODEX KOSPI ETF

KRX · Other · ETFs

No directional view

View updated · Oct 12, 2026, 08:37 PM

Latest research · Sep 18, 2026, 12:00 AM

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FTSE 100 Index Futures

ICEEUR · Other · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Oct 4, 2026, 07:44 PM

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:26 PM

Z1! The UK's releases moved in opposite directions this week. Wednesday's CPI showed inflation accelerating to 3.5%, with core and services inflation also higher. Friday's retail figures showed a 0.4% monthly fall, altho

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Rates

Ultra 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note Futures

CBOT · Rates · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Nov 5, 2026, 08:18 PM

Latest research · Nov 5, 2026, 07:50 PM

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2-Year U.S. Treasury Note Futures

CBOT · Rates · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Nov 5, 2026, 08:18 PM

Latest research · Nov 5, 2026, 07:50 PM

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Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures

CBOT · Rates · Futures

No directional view

View updated · Nov 1, 2026, 08:39 AM

Latest research · Jun 18, 2026, 12:00 AM

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U.S. 30 Year Treasury

Tradeweb · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:17 PM

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U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:16 PM

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U.S. 2 Year Treasury

Tradeweb · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:15 PM

US02Y Treasuries rallied again, extending the rebound we expected from the lows a few weeks ago. US2Y, US10Y and US30Y fell another 5bp, 9bp and 10bp this week. September pending home sales fell 7.3% m/m as higher mortga

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Australia Government Bonds 10 YR Yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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Australia 30Y yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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Canadian Government Bonds 10 YR Yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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Canada 30Y yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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German Government Bonds 10 YR Yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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Germany 30Y yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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France Government Bonds 10 YR Yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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France 30Y yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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No closed trades

UK Government Bonds 10 YR Yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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No closed trades

UK 30Y yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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Italy Government Bonds 10 YR Yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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Italy 30Y yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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Japan Government Bonds 10 Year Yield

Japan · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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Japan Government Bonds 30 Year Yield

Japan · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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Korea Government Bonds 10 YR Yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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South Korea 30Y yield

TVC · Rates · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Sep 12, 2026, 03:31 PM

AU10Y AU30Y CA10Y CA30Y DE10Y DE30Y FR10Y FR30Y GB10Y GB30Y IT10Y IT30Y JP10Y JP30Y KR10Y KR30Y US10Y US30Y Global yields are on an ominous path. We began warning about rising U.S. yields as far back as 2022-2023. In Dec

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30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Futures

CBOT · Rates · Futures

No directional view

Latest research · Jul 22, 2025, 01:21 PM

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Volatility

CBOE Volatility Index

CBOE · Volatility · Index

No directional view

Latest research · Oct 24, 2026, 03:18 PM

VIX closed the week near 19.5, below the previous week's close, despite Thursday's jump. The pressure is still concentrated in AI rather than a broad index-vol panic. Short-dated protection repriced sharply on Thursday,

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VIX Futures

CBOE · Volatility · Futures

No directional view

Latest research · Nov 19, 2025, 02:43 PM

SPX & VX1! / VIX ratio indicates that the market is due for an ST rebound after fresh new lows.

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Last updated Nov 5, 2026

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