XAUUSD and XAGUSD pulled back at the trendline as we warned.
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XAUUSD and XAGUSD pulled back at the trendline as we warned.
Remember the SPX lifeline that had us shorting back in 25Q1 before Trump’s tariff charade? The rally since then may still be just a tiny poke above the trendline.
The real fireworks begin after NDX breaks below 24.2K.
XAUUSD is at the critical 5.1K level. If it fails here, we could see further consolidation and a move back toward the lower trendline. Silver needs to break and confirm above 90–91, which opens the door for 103–104. Otherwise, it could head back toward the 70s.
XAUUSD Gold pulled back as we expected at the 5.1K level.
A confirmed break above this level is key for further upside.
The next few sessions are important, as a confirmed break below 4.9K support opens the door for a retest of the trendline around 4.5K.
Q：Hey Sean, quick question on crude oil – what's your current outlook? Is it still in a bullish trend?
A：The commodity complex as a whole remains in a bullish trend, but in the ST CL1! is mostly a play on the U.S. hitting Iran. If you still believe that will happen, the setup is a re-entry at the support line with a stop just below it, though CL has retested that support multiple times over the past two days, which makes it less effective. CL already hit our 65 target last week and failed to deliver a clean confirmation at 66. For simplicity, use trailing stops if you intend to run a position above the initial target.
XAGUSD Silver looks less promising than gold, but it has held the key 71 support.
As long as it doesn't break this level, momentum remains to the upside. If it breaks below, we could see it back to 50-60.
XAUUSD tested our 4.6K and bounced. Now it needs to reclaim 4.8K, otherwise more downside is likely.
BTC1!76K is #BTC's line in the sand. Lose it and we see 60K.
Chart: Binance BTCUSDT perpetual · Asset Tag: CME Bitcoin futures (BTC1!).
XAUUSD Gold sold off to tag our 4.6K target, then bounced and tried to reclaim 4.8K.
That level was key support before it broke, and it acted as resistance during Asia hours.
BTC1!
This idiot bought 700k BTC at an average cost of $76,038. Now he’s hiking yields while the underlying is sliding, just to keep buyers showing up. That is what the last stage of any Ponzi looks like. Imagine how the market reacts when he has to sell BTC to pay debts.
Stretch Dividend Rate increased by 25 bps to 11.25% for February 2026. $STRC
BTC1!
Market Update
#Bitcoin View note
Chart: Binance BTC/USD · Asset Tag: CME Bitcoin futures (BTC1!).
GC1!=4850, SI1!=85
If GC1! fails to close above 5150-5200, the next target is 4850-4900. SI support level is around 104. A close below that level should open the door for 85-90.
If GC1! fails to close above 5150–5200, the next target is 4850–4900. SI support level is around 104. A close below that level should open the door for 85–90.
XAUUSD This is a good spot to take profits. GC=4850, SI=85.
If XAUUSD fails to close above the generational resistance line today, I think we're due for a weeks long consolidation phase. A confirmed break below 4.8K opens the door for 4.6K. But as I mentioned yesterday, any correction in gold should be temporary as we enter a new stagflation era. I expect gold to continue to outperform in the years ahead (10k, 20k, 50k, 100k?) as long as the U.S. administration stays capricious and the policy trajectory remains on its current course.
CL1! (WTI crude futures) has reached my ST target at 65. If we get a clean break and confirmation above 66, 71 is the next target.
If you're running a massive short, you can take partial profits here (GC1!=5300–5350).
GC1!=5.2k is the first target. It could easily retrace to the low-5k area.
5570-5580 entry with SL=5650 and TP=5.2k still works in my view. GC1! open interest dropped significantly yesterday as price spiked. They tend to go in tandem. Divergence like this usually signals the beginning of a consolidation phase. The lag between the drop in open interest and the final price top varied in the past 24 months for gold. Normally, prices react immediately to such changes.
Still holding 70% of the short from 5575 with SL at breakeven
GC1!
closed 30% GC1! short at 5540
SL at 5650
GC1!