June first, two thousand twenty-five (250526-250601)
Markets are often “counterintuitive”:
After this week ended, everyone should have a deeper understanding of this statement.
Chart: Market moves after the court event; we had already established our short position
Chart: Market moves after the Apple tariff event; we had already established our long position
Publication address for trade synchronization:https://www.meridianresearch.app/home?product=vega-trading
Good news for everyone brought a decline, while bad news drove a rise.
Further reading: Notes250530 After the Court: The Tariff Showdown Is Just Getting Started
Specifically, the Nasdaq broke cleanly higher after the court halted Trump’s tariffs, but the rally was very brief because The market quickly realized that This ruling instead meant more uncertainty.
Later, Bessent said that something had gone wrong with the U.S.–China trade negotiations and Trump then said China had violated its agreement with the United States，
and the development of events was just like that of the Phase One trade agreement in 17,
The agreement did not bring about many fundamental, substantive changes in behavior.
We still believe that now.
This is a natural, brutal reality.
Investing and speculation are an ongoing process of solving problems, and correctly understanding and responding to events and news is an important part of improving that problem-solving process.
One more point worth mentioning here: we said earlier that the second half of the year would be when domestic U.S. policies are implemented, and that the market’s digestion of new developments would gradually shift to some extent from external issues back to domestic ones...
In fact, something similar is happening in the East...
If you work within the system, you should already know what we mean. In six months, the next five-year plan will begin, and now is the time when the planning work is being drawn up from the core outward to the periphery.
It is difficult to say much more about the specifics,
You can click the link below:
https://www.xinhuanet.com/zt/wwswwghxyc/index.html?fromModule=lemma_middle-info
“...study whether to keep manufacturing’s share of gross domestic product stable over the longer term... although... still finalizing the next... plan....... but..... plans to maintain driven by manufacturing economic strategy....”
“Plans to allocate 5000 hundred million yuan (approximately 700 hundred million U.S. dollars) to invest in new infrastructure construction projects.”
“Under the so-called ‘new financing policy tools,’ China’s three state-owned policy banks will raise funds and take equity stakes in projects such as artificial intelligence, the digital economy, and consumer-related infrastructure.”
We’ve spent quite a while discussing international affairs; in the second half of the year, it’s time to look closer to home.
(The equipment broke today and has been sent for repair. I’ll refresh the data next week. The basic positioning has not changed; everyone can review it for themselves.)
The weekend is over. I wish everyone reading this a pleasant life and a smooth week ahead!
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Note: All content in this article is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice or serve as a basis for any laws, regulations, or regulatory policies. Investors should not use or rely on this information as a basis for their decisions.